Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.725648 0.832571 0.949030 1.085193 1.239927 1.410200 1.611685
2024-12-22 0.552908 0.694226 0.861576 1.073956 1.335889 1.647942 2.047504
2024-12-29 0.443972 0.605657 0.812369 1.095021 1.470378 1.950553 2.610176
2025-01-05 0.350255 0.516473 0.744745 1.079269 1.554864 2.204277 3.155427
2025-01-12 0.289015 0.458081 0.706133 1.093547 1.679735 2.528989 3.846970
2025-01-19 0.232018 0.393785 0.646415 1.065294 1.737049 2.765280 4.448749
2025-01-26 0.201842 0.364744 0.634064 1.105562 1.902526 3.184259 5.385825
2025-02-02 0.179774 0.344445 0.631505 1.160002 2.097653 3.675618 6.507372
2025-02-09 0.155106 0.314409 0.606593 1.171030 2.219680 4.061911 7.507465
2025-02-16 0.133466 0.285519 0.578254 1.170181 2.318873 4.420150 8.505692
2025-02-23 0.116046 0.261335 0.554223 1.172620 2.422989 4.798799 9.588996
2025-03-02 0.101224 0.239482 0.530757 1.171645 2.519082 5.173100 10.710990
2025-03-09 0.090679 0.225139 0.520852 1.198121 2.676901 5.692496 12.196045
2025-03-16 0.079025 0.205886 0.497079 1.191055 2.763990 6.083152 13.477331
2025-03-23 0.071388 0.194644 0.489195 1.217880 2.928229 6.654274 15.209078
2025-03-30 0.062240 0.177677 0.464954 1.202770 2.996142 7.029196 16.570804
2025-04-06 0.056147 0.167391 0.455011 1.220166 3.141844 7.593544 18.423910
2025-04-13 0.048568 0.151373 0.427747 1.189796 3.168279 7.891206 19.709992
2025-04-20 0.045292 0.146913 0.429816 1.235239 3.389097 8.669572 22.217959
2025-04-27 0.042905 0.144587 0.437253 1.296241 3.658711 9.598617 25.202966
2025-05-04 0.038981 0.136655 0.427624 1.308822 3.803189 10.238818 27.558162
2025-05-11 0.035083 0.127923 0.414095 1.308087 3.911664 10.802145 29.790464
2025-05-18 0.031749 0.120295 0.402463 1.310938 4.030613 11.407545 32.206746